Aug 22, 2019

U.S. Market I Wall Street Closing Report: Dow rises slightly ahead of big speech from the Fed chief

Fred Imbert

Dow rises slightly ahead of big speech from the Fed chief

Fred Imbert

Stocks were little changed on Thursday as comments from top Federal Reserve officials at an annual central banking summit raised concern about whether the Fed will cut rates next month.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 65 points higher, or 0.25%.The S&P 500 hovered around the flatline while the Nasdaq Composite traded 0.5% lower.
Kansas City Fed President Esther George told CNBC’s Steve Liesman that the Fed should not have cut interest rates last month, stating that “it wasn’t required in my view. ” George is a voting member on the Fed’s policymaking committee. She made her comments ahead of an annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming
Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said he does not see the need for another rate cut, noting the central bank should keep rates at this level “for a while. ” Harker is a nonvoting member on the central bank’s policymaking committee.
“We’ve now had two trial balloons from Fed officials saying ‘We don’t see any reason to lower rates in September,’” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. “I think the Fed is trying to shake the bushes and see how would the market react if they did not cut rates at all.”
George and Harker’s comments come ahead of a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday. Investors will look for confirmation over expectations for future rate cuts. Market expectations for a September rate cut are at 93.5%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points in July, citing “global developments” and “muted inflation.”
Powell is set to deliver his speech as President Donald Trump continues attacking the U.S. central bank, pressuring it to lower rates. On Thursday, Trump tweeted: “The Economy is doing really well. The Federal Reserve can easily make it Record Setting.”
“Trump is forcing these guys to move, but they shouldn’t be doing anything. You’ve got tight unemployment and companies coming out with pretty good earnings — especially the retailers,” said Larry Benedict, founder of The Opportunistic Trader. “I would be very surprised if he signaled something very dovish only because it would be a slap in the face of an independent Fed.”
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 10, 2019 in New York City.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images
Powell will deliver his speech amid heightened fears of an economic recession.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly fell back below its 2-year counterpart. Weak U.S. manufacturing data added to worries of a recession. IHS Markit said manufacturing activity in the U.S. contracted this month for the first time in nearly 10 years.
These fears have battered stocks in August. The Dow and Nasdaq are both down more than 2% each this month while the S&P 500 has lost 1.9%.
“Traders right now are on pins and needles,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. “We always feel like we’re on the precipice of something really bad happening because there’s a slowing global economy and an ongoing U.S.-China trade war.”
Hogan pointed out, however, that the Fed is ready to cut interest rates if the U.S. economy slows down considerably while the U.S. consumer remains strong.
Nordstrom shares jumped more than 13% after the retailer reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analyst expectations. The company cited “inventory and expense discipline ” for the strong results.
Dick’s Sporting Goods traded more than 3% higher on better-than-expected results for the previous quarter. Comparable-store sales, a key metric for retailers, topped analyst expectations. The company also raised its full-year forecast.
The results from Nordstrom and Dick’s add to a strong batch of retail earnings. On Wednesday, Target and Lowe’s surged after releasing corporate earnings results that topped estimates. Those results lifted sentiment across the market and sent the Dow up more than 200 points.
—CNBC’s Sam Meredith and Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

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