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Donald Trump has long tested the line between keeping his
loyal base outraged and aggrieved while preventing mainstream
Republicans from bolting his coalition, but his attacks on minority
lawmakers risk upsetting the balance and imperiling his re-election.
The
president has kept controversy over his racially divisive attacks at a
high boil into a third week by leveling criticism at Representative
Elijah Cummings, the House Oversight chairman, who represents a
majority-black Maryland district Trump called a “disgusting, rat and
rodent infested mess.”
For good measure, Trump heaped insults on civil rights
activist Al Sharpton after he traveled to Baltimore to defend Cummings,
calling him a “con man” who was “looking for a score” and “hates
whites.”
Al Sharpton, center, at the Democratic presidential candidate debate, on July 30.
Photographer: Anthony Lanzilote/Bloomberg
More than half of registered voters now believe the president is racist, according to a poll Quinnipiac University
released on Tuesday. That includes 80 percent of black voters, 55
percent of Hispanic voters and nearly six in 10 female voters.
The survey was taken July 25-28, before the bulk of Trump’s remarks about Cummings and Baltimore.
No modern president has so eagerly embraced opportunities to
exploit the nation’s racial divisions as Trump. He doesn’t express
regret or remorse when his political opponents -- and some allies --
respond with accusations that he or his remarks are racist. But his
racial broadsides are now coming at such frequency and volume as to
infuse and eclipse all other business and keep the issue foremost in
voters’ minds headed into his re-election.
Virginia Speech
On
Tuesday, for example, he traveled to Virginia to deliver a routine
presidential address at a commemoration of the 400th anniversary of the
Jamestown colony’s legislature. But black lawmakers in the commonwealth
boycotted the event in protest of his remarks about Cummings and his
attacks on four freshman congresswomen of color.
A speaker who
preceded Trump, Illinois State Senator Toi Hutchinson, who is black and a
Democrat, said in her remarks that “our state legislatures remain
places where we come together, even in the most divisive of times, to
find solutions to the problems that plague us and serve the people of
the United States of America.”
And during his speech, Trump was confronted by a protester
who turned out to be a member of the state’s House of Delegates,
Ibraheem Samirah, who held a sign reading “go back to your corrupted
home.”
Trump said on Tuesday that he’s “the least racist person
there is anywhere in the world” and that “there’s no strategy” behind
his attacks. “I have no strategy. There’s zero strategy,” he told
reporters at the White House.
Later that day, the Washington
National Cathedral’s religious leaders -- known for staying above the
political fray -- rebuked Trump’s divisive attacks, calling saying they
amounted to a “call to action” for white supremacists
Aides and
the president himself have said his criticism of Cummings is fueled by
Trump’s outrage over the Oversight committee’s investigation into the
use of private email by the president’s daughter, Ivanka Trump, and
son-in-law, Jared Kushner, who are White House senior advisers. The
committee voted last week to authorize subpoenas for work-related text
messages and e-mails sent from the couple’s private accounts.
Trump
has also assailed Cummings for his fierce criticism of Kevin McAleenan,
acting secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, over
conditions in migrant detention camps at the U.S. border with Mexico.
Trump said in an interview with CSPAN on Tuesday that he
isn’t concerned about being called a racist and named black celebrities
who have supported him including musician Kanye West and athletes Jim
Brown, Evander Holyfield and Mike Tyson.
“There are people who are
racists -- bad people,” Trump said. “But with me, they have a hard time
getting away with it. And they don’t get away with it.”
Wavering Support
Support
from Trump’s traditional allies is beginning to waver, in what could be
a dangerous signal from Republicans who have so far loyally embraced
the president despite his zeal for stoking racial tensions.
Representative Mark Meadows, a North Carolina Republican who
is a close Trump ally, issued a statement to CNN on Monday defending
Cummings, a longtime friend. Senators Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and
Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia -- who just last week accompanied
Trump to a fundraiser in her home state -- told the Washington Post they
did not agree with Trump’s attacks on Cummings.
The president
even complained that normally friendly journalists at Fox News were
giving too much airtime to critics who denounced his comments as racist
-- including Samirah, who Trump said was the subject of a report after
his speech. On Sunday, Fox News host Chris Wallace confronted acting
White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney over what he said was a “clear
pattern” of racial stereotyping by Trump.
The risk for Trump is
that his repeated forays into racial politics could alienate moderate
Republicans central to his re-election bid while motivating black voters
who stayed home in 2016.
Black voter turnout fell for the first
time in a presidential election in 20 years in Trump’s campaign against
Hillary Clinton, according to Pew Research Center. A reversal of that
trend -- particularly in swing states with sizable black populations,
like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin -- could spell trouble for
Trump.
Demographic Trouble
Even
maintaining the status quo might not be enough. A 2018 analysis by a
group of centrist and liberal think tanks including the Center for
American Progress showed that if voters from each ethnic group turn out
and vote for Trump in the same proportions as 2016, demographic change
in the composition of the electorate is enough to tip the Electoral College to Democrats.
But some polling data suggests Trump could weather the storm.
A
survey by Fox News published last week found that only one-fifth of
Republicans regarded Trump’s tweets about the four freshmen
congresswomen as racist. About 93% of Republicans surveyed by Quinnipiac
say they believe Trump’s immigration policies are motivated by a
sincere interest in controlling the border rather than racism, and only
9% of Republican voters described the president as a racist.
Trump
has said black voters should consider his deeds, not his words, when
they go to the polls, and he has blamed news media for focusing on his
attacks on his minority political opponents while overlooking his
accomplishments. He frequently pats himself on the back for low
unemployment rates enjoyed by black and Latino workers, for example.
“If the news reported it properly, of all of the things I
have done, for African-Americans, like criminal justice reform, like
opportunity zones, I think I’d do very well with African-Americans,” he
said Tuesday. — With assistance by Josh Wingrove Source: Bloomberg
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