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Mar 28, 2019

Wall Street Closing Report | Stocks rise as US-China trade talks restart, S&P 500 heads for best first quarter since 1998

Fred Imbert

Stocks rose on Thursday as trade talks between China and the U.S. restarted, but fears that the economy may be slowing down persisted.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 53 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both gained 0.2 percent.
Materials and consumer discretionary were the best-performing sectors in the S&P 500, rising 0.8 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively. PVH Corp. outperformed all stocks in the broader index, surging 15.8 percent on strong earnings.
Reuters reported overnight that Chinese officials made unprecedented offers regarding force technology transfers as well as other major sticking points. The report comes as U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin arrived in Beijing for further negotiations.
“Still, the ongoing debate over China and the negotiations is out there,” said Phil Blancato, CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management. “I don’t see a lot more upside to the trade negotiations.”
“I think the bulk is already priced in.”
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
Drew Angerer | Getty Images
Trade between China and the U.S. has been a key issue for Wall Street as investors fear a prolonged standoff between the world’s largest economies could hinder corporate profits and economic growth.
“The talks will conclude. They have to,” Max Baucus, former U.S. ambassador to China, told CNBC’s Martin Soong at the Boao Forum for Asia in the Hainan province of China. “U.S, China, we’re so closely joined at the hip economically, we got to get this thing done.”
Negotiations between the two countries continue amid growing concern of an economic slowdown as the bond market flashes signals that a recession could come soon.
The closely watched 10-year Treasury rate hit its lowest level since December of 2017. This comes after the same bond fell below its three-month counterpart last week — a phenomenon described as inverted yield curve. This is usually perceived as a sign that a recession could be about to erupt.
“Thus far it is a strange type of inversion, dominated by the front-end and belly of the curve with the long end very much following in its wake,” said Michael Shaoul, chairman and CEO of Marketfield Asset Management, in a note. “The current curve is consistent with the market pricing in a slight reduction in the policy rate in late 2019 or early 2020 and for inflation pressures to remain rooted around the current level.”
In economic news, the U.S. economy grew by 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter, according to the government’s final read released Thursday.
—CNBC’s Silvia Amaro contributed to this report.

Source: CNBC

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