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Mar 19, 2019

Released | The impact of monetary policy on gold

2 minutes

The upcoming Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting on 20 March is expected to confirm market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will remain on hold for the rest of the year. This, in turn, will likely influence gold’s performance. Our historical analysis shows that when the Fed has shifted from a tightening to a neutral stance, gold prices have increased, even if this effect has not always been immediate. In our view, the combination of rangebound US interest rates, a slowdown in the appreciation of the US dollar and continued market risks will continue to make gold attractive to investors.

A shift in monetary policy expectations has influenced gold’s performance in recent months 

Contribution to gold returns from movements in the US dollar, changes in interest rates, and other factors*
*Based on a proprietary attribution model developed by the World Gold Council using the four drivers of gold described in Focus 1. “Other” include economic expansion, uncertainty, and momentum. For more details, see Goldhub.
Source: Bloomberg, World Gold Council.

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