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Dec 11, 2018

Gold Price at Close Report: Gold steadies near 5-month peak as US rate hike expectations ease

Jeff Daniels



Gold held steady near a five-month peak on Tuesday as fading expectations of further interest rate hikes in the United States burnished the appeal of non-interest-bearing bullion.
Meanwhile, palladium was trading at a premium to gold, with prices of the autocatalyst metal rising more than 2 percent after President Donald Trump said on Twitter that China had agreed to cut import tariffs on American-made cars.
Palladium prices had last week briefly surpassed those of gold for the first time since 2002.
Spot gold was down .13 percent at $1,243.02 per ounce, as of 1:50 p.m. ET. It touched its highest since July 11 at $1,250.55 in the prior session.
U.S. gold futures settled at $1247.20 per ounce, falling $2.20.
“We are in a situation where the U.S. Federal Reserve is starting to signal they may be very close to neutrality, which means just a few more interest rate hikes,” said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities.
“Over the last few weeks, several speakers from the Fed, including Chairman Jerome Powell has let the market know that they will be looking at the data when deciding the monetary policy going forward. ... The market is interpreting this as lower interest rates in 2019 and 2020.”
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar.
Gold investors are awaiting the Fed meeting on Dec. 18-19, where the central bank “could have more dovish language and cautious approach to future hikes,” said George Gero, managing director at RBC Wealth Management.
Reflecting investor interest toward bullion, speculators trimmed their net short positions in Comex gold contracts in the week to Dec. 4, data showed on Monday.
“There remains significant scope for the market to further increase long positions and to further reduce short positions. A weaker dollar, driven by moderating Fed policy, could provide the market with the necessary impetus,” Societe Generale said in a note.
Among other precious metals, palladium climbed 1.96 percent to $1,241.40 an ounce.
“There was some mention of tariff removal by the U.S. President on the autos, that certainly means better demand for vehicles that use palladium and there is a general concern that the palladium market is in a structural deficit,” TD Securities’ Melek said.
Spot silver rose .03 percent to $14.533 per ounce, having touched $14.72 an ounce earlier, its highest since Nov. 7.
Platinum was 0.70 percent lower at $779.74 per ounce. Prices had slipped to their lowest since Sept. 10 at $773.50 in the previous session.

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