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Jul 27, 2016

Wall Street at Close Report on July 27, 2016: Stocks Close Mixed After Fed; Apple Posts Best Day in 2 Years

cnbc.com

Evelyn Cheng




U.S. stocks closed mixed Wednesday after the Fed statement and major earnings reports. Gains in shares of Apple countered declines in Coca-Cola.

"I didn't get the feeling it was dovish or hawkish. It was kind of neutral, really," said John Caruso, senior market strategist at RJO Futures. "It seemed like they upgraded the economy but they didn't say they were ready to move forward on raising interest rates."

The Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 closed a mildly lower. The Nasdaq composite outperformed, helped by gains in Apple. The stock closed 6.5 percent higher, its best day since April 2014 after reporting better-than-expected earnings. The firm also gave strong current-quarter revenue guidance and posted iPhone and iPad shipments above estimates.
As expected, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in its statement released in the afternoon. Policymakers noted the labor market has "strengthened" and that "near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished."

"That's their nod to Brexit and that Brexit is not going to be as big of an issue as they thought," said Bryce Doty, senior fixed income manager with Sit Investment Associates. "I think the market wanted something more definite than that, that they were going to clearly state the economy is on track."
Analysts were divided on whether the statement pointed to a September rate hike.

"I think December is the base case at this point," said Mike Baele, managing director at U.S. Bank Private Client Reserve. "Given the strong data, a September move is plausible and can't be ruled out. The Fed left the door open subject to data going forward."
Treasury yields held lower, with the 2-year yield around 0.72 percent and the 10-year yield near 1.51 percent. Post-settle, gold hit nearly two-week highs of $1,341.80 an ounce. The major indexes closed near levels from before the Fed statement release.
"The Fed's telling us they have a plan and they're not going to be distracted by recent things in the market, including things as big as Brexit. They're refocusing everyone's attention on their dual mandate," said Alan Rechtschaffen, financial advisor and senior vice president, UBS Wealth Management Americas.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended about 1.5 points lower, with McDonald's having the greatest negative impact, followed by Coca-Cola and Travelers Cos. Apple had the greatest positive impact.

Coca-Cola closed 3.3 percent lower after missing on revenue and cutting organic revenue forecasts for the year. The beverage maker noted more severe international headwinds than anticipated, and a worsening macroeconomic environment in the quarter. The firm did see a 3 percent rise in organic revenue, helped by better pricing.
Declines in shares of Molson Coors and Coca-Cola weighed the most on the consumer staples sector, which closed nearly 1.5 percent lower to lead S&P 500 decliners. Information technology closed nearly 0.8 percent higher to lead advancers in the S&P 500.
"It's really a market of stocks. That's why we're reacting differently to earnings reports," said Marc Chaikin, CEO of Chaikin Analytics. He also attributed stocks' mixed performance in midday trade to resistance at 2,200 in the S&P 500, profit-taking and declines in oil prices.

U.S. crude oil futures settled down $1.00, or 2.33 percent, at $41.92 a barrel after the EIA reported a surprise crude stock build of 1.7 million barrels. The energy sector closed 1 percent lower.
The Dow posted its third-straight day of losses, but remained within 1 percent of its all-time intraday high hit last week. The S&P 500 was within half a percent of its intraday record, also touched last week.
"There's a feeling earnings will be better in the second half ... and also in terms of the economy," said Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist at Baird. He expected the Fed to take a slightly more hawkish tone in its statement.

The Bank of Japan is set to begin a two-day meeting on Thursday. Overnight, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said his government would compile a stimulus package of more than $265 billion to reflate the flagging economy, according to Reuters, citing media reports.
"The Japanese announcement is going to be very important for the market because you don't want the market to be disappointed. The question is, whether or not the Bank of Japan will delivery," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial.
The yen last traded near 105.2 yen versus the greenback, while the euro was near $1.106 and sterling approaching $1.32.
The U.S. dollar index was about a third of a percent lower after initially spiking following the Fed announcement.

The decline in the U.S. dollar index was "probably related to the fact some people were expecting a strong signal (of) putting September back on the table and they didn't get a very strong one," said Andres Jaime, global FX and rates strategist at Barclays. He expected any indications for a September hike to come at Fed Chair Janet Yellen's scheduled remarks at the Aug. 26 central bank conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
In other earnings news, Boeing closed 0.8 percent higher. The firm posted a smaller-than-expected loss for the second quarter and cut its full-year forecast, due to previously announced charges from the 787, 747 and KC-46 tanker aircraft programs. Revenue beat estimates, and while Boeing cut its full-year forecast to account for those charges, its forecast is above Street estimates. The quarterly earnings loss was the first in nearly seven years, Reuters said.
Comcast, the NBCUniversal and CNBC parent posted earnings that beat on both the top and bottom line, and reported a 3 percent increase in revenue per cable customer over a year ago. The firm also saw good results for its internet and video businesses. Shares closed 1.1 percent higher.

Anthem closed 2.7 percent lower after reporting quarterly earnings that beat on both the top and bottom line. The health insurer said it remains committed to completing its planned acquisition of Cigna despite a Justice Department lawsuit aimed at blocking the deal.
Biotech firm Kadmon closed nearly 20 percent lower in its IPO debut for the worst opening day of 2016 for IPOs greater than $100 million in market cap.
In economic news, overall orders for durable goods orders fell 4.0 percent in June. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft increased 0.2 percent last month, Reuters said.
Pending home sales rose a far less-than-expected 0.2 percent in June.
Overseas, European stocks closed higher, with the STOXX Europe 600 Banks index outperforming with a 1 percent gain.
Asian stocks were mixed, with the Nikkei 225 up 1.7 percent and the Shanghai composite 1.9 percent lower.
DJIA Dow Industrials 18472.17 -1.58 -0.01%
S&P 500 S&P 500 Index 2166.58 -2.60 -0.12%
NASDAQ NASDAQ 5139.81 29.76 0.58%
The Dow Jones industrial average closed 1.58 points lower, or 0.01 percent, at 18,472.17, with Coca-Cola leading decliners and Apple the top advancer.
The S&P 500 closed 2.6 points lower, or 0.12 percent, at 2,166.58, with consumer staples leading six sectors lower and information technology the top gainer.
The Nasdaq composite closed up 29.76 points, or 0.58 percent, at 5,139.81. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) closed 2.4 percent higher.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, traded lower below 13.
About eight stocks declined for every seven advancers on the New York Stock Exchange, with an exchange volume of 973 million and a composite volume of about 3.9 billion in the close.
Gold futures for August delivery settled up $5.90 at $1,326.70 an ounce.
CNBC's Peter Schacknow and Reuters contributed to this report.

UPDATE: This story was revised to reflect the final price change for Apple's stock.
On tap this week:

Wednesday
Earnings: Boeing, Coca-Cola, Comcast, Facebook, Amgen, State Street, Whole Foods, Groupon, GoPro, Cheesecake Factory, GlaxoSmithKline, Lumber Liquidators, Six Flags, Altria, Deutsche Bank, Fiat Chrysler, Statoil, Dr. Pepper Snapple, Ingersoll Rand, Hess, Corning, Nissan, Norfolk Southern, Nintendo, Southern Co, Anthem, Statoil, General Dynamics, Nasdaq OMX, Northrop Grumman, Mondelez
Thursday

Earnings: Amazon.com, Alphabet, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Colgate-Palmolive, Celgene, Cigna, Total, MasterCard, Ford, Dow Chemical, Diageo, ConocoPhillips, Credit Suisse, Royal Dutch Shell, BNP Paribas, Hershey, HCA, Harley-Davidson, Marsh & McLennan, Marathon Petroleum, Potash, PG&E, TransCanda, Raytheon, Expedia, CBS, Samsung

8:30 a.m. Jobless claims; advance trade balance

1 p.m. $28 billion 7-year auction

Friday

Earnings: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Merck, AB InBev, UPS, UBS, Sanofi, Xerox, CBOE Holdings, Philips 66, Cabot Oil, Barclays, Eni, Tenneco, Lexmark, CNA Financial

8:30 a.m. Q2 GDP

9:30 a.m. San Francisco Fed President John Williams

9:45 a.m. Chicago PMI

10 a.m. University of Michigan consumer sentiment

1 p.m. Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan
*Planner subject to change.